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cHeroKee
11-30-2013, 10:34 AM
<header class="content-head"> The potential pandemic by Angela Herring </header>
In 2011, scientists successfully engineered a lethal avian flu virus to be transmissible between birds as well as mammals and possibly humans. The novel virus, a genetically engineered variation of H5N1 avian influenza, sparked an enormous debate among both the research community and the public about how to manage such research and whether it should even be carried out at all.


That's where Northeastern stepped in. "We thought it was important to provide some hard numbers to the debate," said Alessandro Vespignani, a world-renowned statistical physicist and the Sternberg Family Distinguished University Professor.
In a paper released Thursday in the journal BMC Medicine, Vespignani and his collaborators provide those hard numbers—and they aren't terribly reassuring. "This study provides a very accurate modeling approach to assess the probability of containment in the case of accidental escape," explained Vespignani, who holds joint appointments in the College of Science, College of Computer and Information Science, and Bouvé College of Health Sciences. "Unfortunately th.....................

more (http://medicalxpress.com/news/2013-11-potential-pandemic.html)

mirkwood
11-30-2013, 01:23 PM
That's where Northeastern stepped in. "We thought it was important to provide some hard numbers to the debate," said Alessandro Vespignani, a world-renowned statistical physicist and the Sternberg Family Distinguished University Professor.
In a paper released Thursday in the journal BMC Medicine, Vespignani and his collaborators provide those hard numbers—and they aren't terribly reassuring. "This study provides a very accurate modeling approach to assess the probability of containment in the case of accidental escape," explained Vespignani, who holds joint appointments in the College of Science, College of Computer and Information Science, and Bouvé College of Health Sciences. "Unfortunately there are large chances that the outbreak will not be contained."



Oops....sorry...

If this were to ever happen, I'm sure the above would be the excuse.